SPC MD 759


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Mesoscale Discussion 759
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 Mesoscale Discussion 0759 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0318 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022 Areas affected...parts of west-central into northwest Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 142018Z - 142245Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated storms are expected to form by 21Z over west-central Texas, and a few cells may produce marginally severe hail or wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a dryline extending south from the eastern TX Panhandle, with a weak low near SWW where temperatures are over 100 F. Dewpoints are generally in the 50s F, but low 60s F exist into central TX with PWAT generally around 0.80 inches per GPS water vapor sensors. Visible imagery shows convection beginning to form along the dryline, and a few of the storms may gain strength as they move very slowly. The steep lapse rate environment combined with sufficient instability should support a couple marginally severe storms producing hail near 1.00-1.50" and gusty winds before dissipating after sunset. ..Jewell/Grams.. 05/14/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB... LAT...LON 31720082 32190042 32770008 33370004 34349997 34309957 34159947 32909943 32219874 31719840 31209849 31009888 31180064 31420087 31720082 
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Original News Source Link – National Weather Service

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