SPC MD 794


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Mesoscale Discussion 794
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 Mesoscale Discussion 0794 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0523 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022 Areas affected...northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 162223Z - 162330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts will be possible with the storm cluster moving off of Lake Erie. DISCUSSION...A fast moving cluster of storms developed earlier today across eastern Michigan and is now crossing Lake Erie. The environment ahead of these storms is very deeply mixed with at least weak buoyancy. Therefore, some stronger mid-level flow (~50 knots at 3-4 km per CLE VWP) may mix toward the surface with this thunderstorm activity. Recently, the Akron, Ohio ASOS gusted to 43 knots as thunderstorms moved through the region, showing what the environment is capable of. The cluster over Lake Michigan is more organized and moving faster than the storms to the south. Therefore, expect a threat for isolated damaging wind gusts for the next 1 to 2 hours before the threat wanes as the boundary layer cools later this evening. ..Bentley/Hart.. 05/16/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE... LAT...LON 41488173 41858119 42188017 42207973 41967957 41437967 41028022 40888074 40928132 40958138 41488173 
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Original News Source Link – National Weather Service

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